New York City FC vs Orlando City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York City FC v Orlando City — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Orlando City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Orlando City
ABD
1-1
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
2-1
HT 0-0
Orlando City
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
New York City FC 2-1 Orlando City — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC edged past Orlando City 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; New York City FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, New York City FC had 55% of the ball to Orlando City's 45%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.58 to 1.42.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for New York City FC and 1.17 for Orlando City.
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Orlando City?
New York City FC 2-1 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Orlando City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 35%, draw 26%, Orlando City 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orlando City) went the other way.