FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Cincinnati v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 2-2
FC Cincinnati
ABD
3-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
1-2
HT 0-1
FC Cincinnati
ABD
FC Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
FC Cincinnati beat Toronto FC 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had FC Cincinnati as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, FC Cincinnati had 56% of the ball to Toronto FC's 44%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 1.64 to 0.25.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.00 for Toronto FC.
What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC?
FC Cincinnati 2-0 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Toronto FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 48%, draw 26%, Toronto FC 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.