Macara vs Guayaquil City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Macara v Guayaquil City — Team-Based Signals
Macara vs Guayaquil City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Macara
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
Guayaquil City
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-1
Guayaquil City
EKV1
3-1
HT 2-0
Macara
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-0
Guayaquil City
EKV1
Macara 2-1 Guayaquil City — Actual Match Statistics
Macara nicked a narrow win over Guayaquil City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Macara as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 2.47 to 0.82 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Macara's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guayaquil City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Macara and 1.33 for Guayaquil City.
What was the final score of Macara vs Guayaquil City?
Macara 2-1 Guayaquil City in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Macara vs Guayaquil City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Macara win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Macara 51%, draw 25%, Guayaquil City 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Macara) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.