Guayaquil City vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Guayaquil City v Macara — Team-Based Signals
Guayaquil City vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Macara
EKV1
2-0
HT 1-0
Guayaquil City
EKV1
0-2
HT 0-1
Guayaquil City
EKV1
3-1
HT 2-0
Macara
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-0
Guayaquil City
EKV1
1-1
HT 0-1
Macara
EKV1
Guayaquil City 2-1 Macara — Actual Match Statistics
Guayaquil City squeezed past Macara 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Guayaquil City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Guayaquil City had 53% of the ball to Macara's 47%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 0.47 to 0.92 — on chances, Macara could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guayaquil City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Guayaquil City and 0.83 for Macara.
What was the final score of Guayaquil City vs Macara?
Guayaquil City 2-1 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Guayaquil City vs Macara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Guayaquil City win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Guayaquil City 36%, draw 30%, Macara 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guayaquil City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.