Tecnico Universitario 0-2 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
1.42/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.13
-6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
233 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
21.5 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.17
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
213 Passes 401
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2025 Uni. Catolica 2-0 HT 1-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
04.05.2025 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 1-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
04.11.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-0 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.05.2024 Uni. Catolica 3-2 HT 1-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
05.08.2023 Uni. Catolica 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
26.02.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 4-1 HT 2-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
0-2
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.65 xG 1.24
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
298 Passes 393
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 25
27 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica got the better of Tecnico Universitario 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 45% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 55%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.65 to 1.24 — on chances, Tecnico Universitario could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.17 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Uni. Catolica?

Tecnico Universitario 0-2 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 32%, draw 25%, Uni. Catolica 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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