Orense vs Libertad Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orense v Libertad — Team-Based Signals
Orense vs Libertad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Orense 2-1 Libertad — Actual Match Statistics
Orense nicked a narrow win over Libertad 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Orense as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Orense had 69% of the ball to Libertad's 31%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.37 to 0.57.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orense and 1.67 for Libertad.
What was the final score of Orense vs Libertad?
Orense 2-1 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orense vs Libertad?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Orense 49%, draw 28%, Libertad 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.