Libertad vs Orense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Orense — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Orense Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Libertad
EKV1
0-0
HT 0-0
Orense
EKV1
Libertad 4-1 Orense — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad swept aside Orense 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Libertad had 50% of the ball to Orense's 50%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 2.50 to 0.79.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Orense led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Libertad and 1.25 for Orense.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Orense?
Libertad 4-1 Orense in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Orense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Libertad 44%, draw 27%, Orense 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.