Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Del Valle v Deportivo Cuenca — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportivo Cuenca
EKV1
Independiente Del Valle 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca — Actual Match Statistics
Independiente Del Valle squeezed past Deportivo Cuenca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, shots finished 21-2, expected goals 1.71 to 0.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Independiente Del Valle's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.33 for Deportivo Cuenca.
What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Independiente Del Valle 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 59%, draw 23%, Deportivo Cuenca 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.