Deportivo Cuenca 0-3 Independiente Del Valle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 28 Jul 2025

Deportivo Cuenca
0-3 HT 0-1
Independiente Del Valle
📅28/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2025

Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente Del Valle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Cuenca v Independiente Del Valle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +8%
1.29/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.27
+26% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.9 Crosses 15.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente Del Valle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.70 xG 1.40
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
251 Passes 398
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
10 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2025 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
25.10.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
05.05.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
28.10.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
20.05.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
03.09.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1

Deportivo Cuenca 0-3 Independiente Del Valle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cuenca
0-3
AWAY Independiente Del Valle
0.06 xG 2.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
2 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 1
300 Passes 566
80% Pass Accuracy 93%
4 Box Touches 16
7 Crosses 18
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente Del Valle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle swept aside Deportivo Cuenca 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Independiente Del Valle found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cuenca had 38% of the ball to Independiente Del Valle's 62%, shots finished 2-19, expected goals 0.06 to 2.33.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Cuenca and 2.00 for Independiente Del Valle.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente Del Valle?

Deportivo Cuenca 0-3 Independiente Del Valle in the Ecuador - Premier on 28/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cuenca vs Independiente Del Valle?

Before kick-off our model rated an Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cuenca 36%, draw 27%, Independiente Del Valle 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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