Independiente Del Valle 4-0 Deportivo Cuenca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 6 Apr 2025

📅06/04/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
18%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.9pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
18%
Away Win
15%
+2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Del Valle EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca EU Bookmakers 18%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +5%
1.70/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.56
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 72%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
20.0 Crosses 14.9
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Del Valle
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.29 xG 0.68
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
410 Passes 240
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 9
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 0-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
05.05.2024 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
28.10.2023 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
20.05.2023 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 1-2 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
03.09.2022 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca 2-1 HT 0-1 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle EKV1
20.04.2022 Independiente Del Valle Independiente Del Valle 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cuenca Deportivo Cuenca EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Del Valle
4-0
AWAY Deportivo Cuenca
2.31 xG 0.24
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
384 Passes 309
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 9
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Del Valle cruised past Deportivo Cuenca 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Independiente Del Valle as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Independiente Del Valle had 54% of the ball to Deportivo Cuenca's 46%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 2.31 to 0.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Independiente Del Valle had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Independiente Del Valle and 0.50 for Deportivo Cuenca.

What was the final score of Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Independiente Del Valle 4-0 Deportivo Cuenca in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Del Valle vs Deportivo Cuenca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Del Valle win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Independiente Del Valle 55%, draw 27%, Deportivo Cuenca 18%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente Del Valle), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente Del Valle) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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