Uni. Catolica 1-0 Macara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 6 Apr 2025

Uni. Catolica
1-0 HT 1-0
Macara
📅06/04/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Ecuador - Premier – 2026

Uni. Catolica vs Macara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
13%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Uni. Catolica v Macara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Macara EU Bookmakers 27%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.80/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.10
-9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 71%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
15.6 Crosses 14.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0

Uni. Catolica vs Macara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Uni. Catolica
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Macara
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 257
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2024 Macara Macara 1-2 HT 0-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.06.2024 Uni. Catolica 3-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
01.08.2022 Macara Macara 1-3 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.03.2022 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 0-2 Macara Macara EKV1
30.08.2021 Macara Macara 1-2 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.04.2021 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1

Uni. Catolica 1-0 Macara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Uni. Catolica
1-0
AWAY Macara
1.65 xG 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
371 Passes 254
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Uni. Catolica vs Macara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica nicked a narrow win over Macara 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Uni. Catolica had 56% of the ball to Macara's 44%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.65 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Uni. Catolica and 1.00 for Macara.

What was the final score of Uni. Catolica vs Macara?

Uni. Catolica 1-0 Macara in the Ecuador - Premier on 06/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Uni. Catolica vs Macara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Uni. Catolica 48%, draw 27%, Macara 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✓ Under 2.5
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