Macara 1-2 Uni. Catolica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 30 Nov 2024

Macara
1-2 HT 0-1
Uni. Catolica
📅30/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Ecuador - Premier – 2024

Macara vs Uni. Catolica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.2pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-5.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Macara v Uni. Catolica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macara EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Uni. Catolica EU Bookmakers 52%
-12% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
0.93/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.09
-26% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +26%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
14.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
19.3 Crosses 16.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

Macara vs Uni. Catolica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macara
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.89 xG 1.73
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
223 Passes 391
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.06.2024 Uni. Catolica 3-0 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
01.08.2022 Macara Macara 1-3 HT 1-1 Uni. Catolica EKV1
14.03.2022 Uni. Catolica 2-2 HT 0-2 Macara Macara EKV1
30.08.2021 Macara Macara 1-2 HT 0-0 Uni. Catolica EKV1
02.04.2021 Uni. Catolica 1-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1
16.10.2020 Uni. Catolica 2-1 HT 1-0 Macara Macara EKV1

Macara 1-2 Uni. Catolica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macara
1-2
AWAY Uni. Catolica
1.15 xG 1.10
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
369 Passes 274
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Macara vs Uni. Catolica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Uni. Catolica edged past Macara 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Uni. Catolica as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Macara had 57% of the ball to Uni. Catolica's 43%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.15 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Uni. Catolica led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Macara and 2.17 for Uni. Catolica.

What was the final score of Macara vs Uni. Catolica?

Macara 1-2 Uni. Catolica in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macara vs Uni. Catolica?

Before kick-off our model rated an Uni. Catolica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Macara 30%, draw 27%, Uni. Catolica 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uni. Catolica), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Uni. Catolica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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