Delfin 6-4 Cumbaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.4pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cumbaya EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.37/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.97
+6% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 74%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.6
14.4 Crosses 11.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Cumbaya
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.24 xG 0.74
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
243 Passes 305
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 14
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Cumbaya Cumbaya 1-0 HT 0-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
29.10.2023 Delfin Delfin 4-0 HT 2-0 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
21.05.2023 Cumbaya Cumbaya 0-1 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
27.08.2022 Cumbaya Cumbaya 2-1 HT 1-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
16.04.2022 Delfin Delfin 1-1 HT 1-1 Cumbaya Cumbaya EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
6-4
AWAY Cumbaya
2.23 xG 3.85
44% Ball Possession 56%
19 Total Shots 16
12 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 5
224 Passes 315
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Cumbaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin got the better of Cumbaya 6-4. Half-time: 4-2. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Delfin as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 6-4 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Delfin had 44% of the ball to Cumbaya's 56%, shots finished 19-16, expected goals 2.23 to 3.85 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cumbaya.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Delfin and 0.80 for Cumbaya.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Cumbaya?

Delfin 6-4 Cumbaya in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Cumbaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Delfin 45%, draw 27%, Cumbaya 28%. The final score 6-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Delfin) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Delfin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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