Libertad vs Emelec Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Libertad v Emelec — Team-Based Signals
Libertad vs Emelec Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Emelec
EKV1
2-0
HT 2-0
Libertad
EKV1
Libertad 2-1 Emelec — Actual Match Statistics
Libertad edged past Emelec 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Libertad had 40% of the ball to Emelec's 60%, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 1.15 to 2.12 — on chances, Emelec could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Emelec led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Libertad and 0.67 for Emelec.
What was the final score of Libertad vs Emelec?
Libertad 2-1 Emelec in the Ecuador - Premier on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Libertad vs Emelec?
Before kick-off our model rated a Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Libertad 50%, draw 23%, Emelec 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.