Aalesund vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aalesund v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals
Aalesund vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Aalesund
NOR
2-3
HT 1-1
Tromsö
NOR
2-2
HT 1-2
Aalesund
NOR
2-2
HT 1-0
Tromsö
NOR
3-2
HT 1-1
Aalesund
NOR
Aalesund 2-6 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics
Tromsö swept aside Aalesund 6-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, shots finished 24-12, expected goals 2.69 to 1.94 — on chances, Aalesund could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Aalesund and 2.00 for Tromsö.
What was the final score of Aalesund vs Tromsö?
Aalesund 2-6 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Tromsö?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 31%, draw 26%, Tromsö 43%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.