Molde 3-3 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.43
2-3 Goals
36%
1.98
4-5 Goals
26%
2.54
6+ Goals
15%
5.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.97
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.85
X/1
14%
4.44
X/2
10%
10.45
X/X
12%
6.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
18.75
2/2
8%
7.21
2/X
9%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.75 — our 9% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
59%
-9.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+5.6pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +8%
2.08/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.74
+15% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
36.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
21.5 Crosses 17.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.72 xG 1.50
65% Ball Possession 35%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
527 Passes 249
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
46 Box Touches 22
33 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2026 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-1 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
30.11.2025 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-0 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
30.03.2025 Molde Molde 0-2 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
10.11.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-2 HT 2-2 Molde Molde NOR
20.05.2024 Molde Molde 2-4 HT 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
08.05.2024 Molde Molde 4-2 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
3-3
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.62 xG 1.09
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
607 Passes 307
30 Box Touches 31
21 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Molde vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde and Sarpsborg 08 shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.62 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Molde and 2.17 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Molde vs Sarpsborg 08?

Molde 3-3 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Molde 50%, draw 27%, Sarpsborg 08 24%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Molde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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