Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Molde — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Molde
NOR
Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Molde — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 nicked a narrow win over Molde 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sarpsborg 08 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 24% of the ball to Molde's 76%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 1.18 to 1.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.83 for Molde.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde?
Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 43%, draw 21%, Molde 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.