HamKam 2-0 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 25 May 2026

📅25/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.1
Over 2.5
55%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.27
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
22.25
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
11%
7.55
X/2
9%
4.81
X/X
10%
5.2
2/1
6%
32.5
2/2
29%
2.62
2/X
6%
12.6
Value flag · 1/2 at 22.25 — our 7% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+5.5pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.37/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.07
+18% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +29%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 81%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.5
21.0 Crosses 25.4
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lilleström
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.70 xG 1.37
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 360
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 30
24 Crosses 35
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.03.2026 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOK
21.09.2024 HamKam HamKam 5-0 HT 4-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
28.04.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 1-1 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
30.07.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 2-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
29.05.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-0 HT 0-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
13.11.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam
2-0
AWAY Lilleström
1.30 xG 1.54
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
300 Passes 489
81% Pass Accuracy 87%
23 Box Touches 43
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH HamKam vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam beat Lilleström 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lilleström at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HamKam had 40% of the ball to Lilleström's 60%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.30 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lilleström led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for HamKam and 1.50 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of HamKam vs Lilleström?

HamKam 2-0 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split HamKam 33%, draw 22%, Lilleström 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lilleström) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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