Sandefjord 1-1 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 25 May 2026

📅25/05/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.61
No
40%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.88
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
5%
12.65
X/1
16%
5.01
X/2
9%
6.85
X/X
11%
5.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.1
2/2
15%
4.68
2/X
8%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 8% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+1.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +9%
1.63/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.32
+12% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / +26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.6 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.13 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
426 Passes 318
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2025 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-0 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
21.04.2025 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-1 HT 3-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
01.12.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
21.06.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 4-2 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
28.04.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
08.03.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
1-1
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.89 xG 1.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
271 Passes 411
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord and Fredrikstad shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sandefjord at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Sandefjord had 42% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 58%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.89 to 1.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sandefjord and 1.50 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?

Sandefjord 1-1 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 46%, draw 24%, Fredrikstad 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandefjord), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandefjord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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