Tromsö 1-1 Aalesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 25 May 2026

Tromsö
1-1 HT 1-0
Aalesund
📅25/05/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2026

Tromsö vs Aalesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
13%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.97
6+ Goals
13%
9.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.87
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
24%
3.98
X/2
4%
11.35
X/X
9%
6.13
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
20.85
2/2
5%
9.11
2/X
8%
17.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.85 — our 13% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
61%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
13%
Away Win
18%
-4.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.8pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tromsö v Aalesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
2.19/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.84
-13% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.7 Crosses 14.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Tromsö vs Aalesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aalesund
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.33 xG 1.09
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
416 Passes 312
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 1-2 HT 0-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
11.06.2023 Aalesund Aalesund 2-3 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
13.11.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 2-2 HT 1-2 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
18.04.2022 Aalesund Aalesund 2-2 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
20.08.2017 Tromsö Tromsö 3-2 HT 1-1 Aalesund Aalesund NOR
30.04.2017 Aalesund Aalesund 3-1 HT 0-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR

Tromsö 1-1 Aalesund — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
1-1
AWAY Aalesund
1.76 xG 1.12
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 9
506 Passes 277
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
40 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Aalesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö and Aalesund shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tromsö at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Tromsö had 62% of the ball to Aalesund's 38%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.76 to 1.12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tromsö and 2.17 for Aalesund.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Aalesund?

Tromsö 1-1 Aalesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 25/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Aalesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 64%, draw 23%, Aalesund 13%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tromsö), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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