Sandefjord 0-1 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
27%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.46 — our 27% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.64
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
14%
6.65
X/2
14%
4.97
X/X
7%
4.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
33.0
2/2
18%
3.08
2/X
8%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 33.0 — our 6% vs market 1.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
30%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
1.29/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.00
-18% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
19.6 Crosses 19.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
483 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
21.06.2024 Sandefjord Sandefjord 4-2 HT 1-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad HAZ
28.04.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
08.03.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord HAZ
27.09.2016 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
30.04.2016 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR1
02.11.2014 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
0-1
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.85 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
445 Passes 359
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fredrikstad squeezed past Sandefjord 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 38% — and on the day Fredrikstad made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sandefjord had 54% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 46%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.85 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandefjord had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sandefjord and 1.17 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?

Sandefjord 0-1 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 38%, draw 23%, Fredrikstad 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/23/38) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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