Stromsgodset 1-0 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Dec 2024

Stromsgodset
1-0 HT 0-0
Molde
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Stromsgodset vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
45%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.55
No
43%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
7.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.08
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
21.4
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
8%
9.02
X/2
12%
4.5
X/X
13%
5.74
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.31
2/X
8%
13.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.4 — our 9% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
24%
+3.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
44%
Away Win
52%
-7.8pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.6pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stromsgodset v Molde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 56%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.49/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.22
+61% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.3
20.3 Crosses 18.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Stromsgodset vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Molde
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.66 xG 2.15
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
323 Passes 478
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Molde Molde 4-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
24.09.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-1 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
28.06.2023 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 3-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOK
13.05.2023 Molde Molde 3-2 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
31.07.2022 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
10.04.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-3 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR

Stromsgodset 1-0 Molde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
1-0
AWAY Molde
2.34 xG 1.97
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
334 Passes 411
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset squeezed past Molde 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 45% of the ball to Molde's 55%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.34 to 1.97.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stromsgodset and 2.83 for Molde.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs Molde?

Stromsgodset 1-0 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 27%, draw 28%, Molde 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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