Molde 4-0 Stromsgodset — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.43
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.15
Over 2.5
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.21
2-3 Goals
43%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.72
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.25
X/1
20%
3.6
X/2
8%
14.1
X/X
8%
6.51
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.85
2/2
8%
11.0
2/X
6%
18.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
65%
-7.0pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.5pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
43%
-4.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
57%
+4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 18%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +20%
2.26/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/2.10
+24% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +0%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
414 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
34.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.6 Crosses 14.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Stromsgodset
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.88 xG 0.64
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
456 Passes 331
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
24.09.2023 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-1 HT 1-1 Molde Molde NOR
28.06.2023 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 3-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOK
13.05.2023 Molde Molde 3-2 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
31.07.2022 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 1-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
10.04.2022 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset 1-3 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOR
06.04.2022 Molde Molde 3-0 HT 0-0 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
4-0
AWAY Stromsgodset
3.21 xG 0.77
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
566 Passes 290
88% Pass Accuracy 77%
36 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Molde vs Stromsgodset
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Molde cruised past Stromsgodset 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Molde as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Molde had 62% of the ball to Stromsgodset's 38%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 3.21 to 0.77.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Molde and 0.67 for Stromsgodset.

What was the final score of Molde vs Stromsgodset?

Molde 4-0 Stromsgodset in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Stromsgodset?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Molde 58%, draw 19%, Stromsgodset 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Molde), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Molde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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