Tromsö 2-4 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Apr 2024

Tromsö
2-4 HT 0-2
Brann
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Tromsö vs Brann Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
14%
16.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.27
1/2
7%
26.0
1/X
6%
13.95
X/1
9%
7.01
X/2 EV+ ✗
25%
4.5
X/X
8%
4.51
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.83
2/X
11%
13.5
Value flag · X/2 at 4.5 — our 25% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
28%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tromsö v Brann — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -15%
1.24/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.38
+37% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -11%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
14.3 Crosses 18.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3

Tromsö vs Brann Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Brann
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.10 xG 1.32
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
300 Passes 422
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 33
8 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Brann Brann 2-1 HT 2-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
23.07.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 3-1 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
19.09.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
10.07.2021 Brann Brann 1-1 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
25.08.2019 Brann Brann 2-3 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
28.04.2019 Tromsö Tromsö 1-2 HT 0-0 Brann Brann NOR

Tromsö 2-4 Brann — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
2-4
AWAY Brann
1.50 xG 2.96
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 23
6 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 10
255 Passes 509
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
27 Box Touches 48
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann beat Tromsö 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brann as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Tromsö had 37% of the ball to Brann's 63%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 1.50 to 2.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Tromsö and 1.50 for Brann.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Brann?

Tromsö 2-4 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 28%, draw 25%, Brann 46%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brann) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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