Rosenborg 2-0 Sandefjord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.07
Over 2.5
61%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.73
No
38%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.97
2-3 Goals
35%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.13
6+ Goals
15%
10.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.13 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.05
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.8
X/1
14%
3.97
X/2
9%
10.4
X/X
13%
5.56
2/1 EV+ ✗
13%
22.3
2/2
13%
7.82
2/X
8%
15.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 13% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.9pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
54%
+8.1pp
38%
BTTS No
46%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.61/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.77
+7% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 71%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
20.9 Crosses 19.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sandefjord
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.66 xG 1.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
351 Passes 291
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 3-2 HT 3-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
23.04.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
12.08.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-5 HT 2-2 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
16.05.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 3-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
24.10.2021 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-1 HT 3-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
27.05.2021 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-2 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
2-0
AWAY Sandefjord
1.33 xG 0.87
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
210 Passes 399
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Sandefjord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg saw off Sandefjord 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rosenborg had 40% of the ball to Sandefjord's 60%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.33 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Rosenborg and 1.33 for Sandefjord.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Sandefjord?

Rosenborg 2-0 Sandefjord in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Sandefjord?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 47%, draw 25%, Sandefjord 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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