Fredrikstad 0-2 Bodo/Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Apr 2024

Fredrikstad
0-2 HT 0-0
Bodo/Glimt
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
46%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.27
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.99
6+ Goals
12%
9.13
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.16
1/2
7%
21.35
1/X
4%
16.05
X/1
9%
11.0
X/2
9%
3.91
X/X EV+ ✗
21%
5.95
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.96
2/X
5%
15.4
Value flag · X/X at 5.95 — our 21% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.3pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.3pp
46%
Away Win
59%
-12.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fredrikstad v Bodo/Glimt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 62%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -1%
0.79/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.73/1.21
-37% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 39.1
– Crosses 19.4
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bodo/Glimt
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
28.06.2009 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-2 HT 1-2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
15.03.2009 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
20.09.2008 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-1 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
21.04.2008 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
02.10.2005 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-2 HT 1-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
12.06.2005 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 3-2 HT 0-2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo/Glimt beat Fredrikstad 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bodo/Glimt as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fredrikstad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Fredrikstad and 1.33 for Bodo/Glimt.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt?

Fredrikstad 0-2 Bodo/Glimt in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad 24%, draw 30%, Bodo/Glimt 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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