Viking 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Apr 2024

Viking
1-0 HT 1-0
Sarpsborg 08
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.51
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.49
2-3 Goals
33%
2.01
4-5 Goals
33%
2.66
6+ Goals
15%
6.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.56
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
6%
12.65
X/1
14%
4.9
X/2
8%
7.67
X/X
7%
5.9
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.95
2/2
17%
4.76
2/X
8%
12.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.95 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.3pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Viking v Sarpsborg 08 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.33/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.30
+7% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
22.5 Crosses 19.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Viking vs Sarpsborg 08 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.65 xG 0.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
366 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Viking Viking 2-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
11.06.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-3 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
16.10.2022 Viking Viking 0-1 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
03.04.2022 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 0-1 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
31.10.2021 Viking Viking 1-2 HT 1-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
25.06.2021 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-2 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR

Viking 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
1-0
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
1.09 xG 0.90
49% Ball Possession 51%
22 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
348 Passes 365
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viking vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking nicked a narrow win over Sarpsborg 08 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viking had 49% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 51%, shots finished 22-14, expected goals 1.09 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Viking and 1.00 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Viking vs Sarpsborg 08?

Viking 1-0 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Viking 49%, draw 21%, Sarpsborg 08 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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