Brann 1-1 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 1 Dec 2024

Brann
1-1 HT 0-0
Viking
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.68
2-3 Goals
34%
2.05
4-5 Goals
31%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.28
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.95
X/1
7%
4.53
X/2
8%
8.81
X/X
8%
6.46
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
20.0
2/2
13%
5.64
2/X
9%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 12% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.8pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.8pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brann EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
1.88/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.48
-3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.3 Crosses 16.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brann
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Viking
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.12 xG 1.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
343 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 69%
37 Box Touches 22
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Viking Viking 1-1 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
30.07.2023 Brann Brann 0-2 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
24.06.2023 Viking Viking 3-1 HT 1-1 Brann Brann NOR
28.10.2021 Brann Brann 0-2 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
09.05.2021 Viking Viking 3-1 HT 1-1 Brann Brann NOR
02.12.2020 Viking Viking 2-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brann
1-1
AWAY Viking
1.41 xG 0.67
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
431 Passes 134
82% Pass Accuracy 57%
43 Box Touches 12
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Brann vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brann and Viking couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brann at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Brann had 69% of the ball to Viking's 31%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 1.41 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Brann and 2.17 for Viking.

What was the final score of Brann vs Viking?

Brann 1-1 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brann vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brann 49%, draw 24%, Viking 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brann), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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