Viking 1-1 Brann — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 14 Apr 2024

Viking
1-1 HT 1-0
Brann
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.49
No
47%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.79
2-3 Goals
33%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.81
6+ Goals
16%
7.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.77
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
24.0
1/X
6%
12.2
X/1
10%
6.24
X/2
19%
5.62
X/X
14%
5.36
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
13%
3.25
2/X
5%
12.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.0 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.8pp
47%
BTTS No
37%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Brann EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.76/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.27
+35% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
18.9 Crosses 16.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Brann
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.79 xG 1.05
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
268 Passes 341
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 32
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.07.2023 Brann Brann 0-2 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
24.06.2023 Viking Viking 3-1 HT 1-1 Brann Brann NOR
28.10.2021 Brann Brann 0-2 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
09.05.2021 Viking Viking 3-1 HT 1-1 Brann Brann NOR
02.12.2020 Viking Viking 2-0 HT 1-0 Brann Brann NOR
21.06.2020 Brann Brann 3-0 HT 0-0 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
1-1
AWAY Brann
1.00 xG 1.76
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 11
241 Passes 353
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 45
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Viking vs Brann
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking and Brann couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Viking had 43% of the ball to Brann's 57%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 1.00 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viking had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Viking and 0.83 for Brann.

What was the final score of Viking vs Brann?

Viking 1-1 Brann in the Norway - Eliteserien on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Brann?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brann win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Viking 35%, draw 26%, Brann 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brann), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brann) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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