Rosenborg 1-0 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
3.5
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.41
6+ Goals
12%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 24% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.08
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.6
X/1
16%
3.94
X/2
9%
10.55
X/X
13%
5.05
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
8%
8.27
2/X
6%
15.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.59/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.63
+8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
397 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 75%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
20.6 Crosses 19.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HamKam
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.32 xG 0.89
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
432 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 HamKam HamKam 3-0 HT 2-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
04.06.2023 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-0 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
06.08.2022 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-1 HT 1-1 HamKam HamKam NOR
22.05.2022 HamKam HamKam 1-1 HT 0-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
21.09.2008 Rosenborg Rosenborg 4-0 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
09.07.2008 HamKam HamKam 2-1 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
1-0
AWAY HamKam
2.08 xG 0.51
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
406 Passes 184
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg nicked a narrow win over HamKam 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Rosenborg had 63% of the ball to HamKam's 37%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.08 to 0.51 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rosenborg's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rosenborg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Rosenborg and 1.17 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs HamKam?

Rosenborg 1-0 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 49%, draw 27%, HamKam 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✗ Over 2.5
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