Tromsö 0-1 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 14 Apr 2024

Tromsö
0-1 HT 0-1
Haugesund
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Tromsö vs Haugesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.45
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
10%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 31% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.05
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.0
X/1
18%
3.76
X/2
8%
10.4
X/X
15%
5.36
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
12%
8.3
2/X
4%
16.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.5pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tromsö v Haugesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +15%
1.58/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.41
-34% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +33%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
20.3 Crosses 17.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.0

Tromsö vs Haugesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Haugesund
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.97 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
402 Passes 396
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 2-1 HT 1-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
29.05.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
04.09.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 2-1 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
19.06.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
03.10.2021 Tromsö Tromsö 2-0 HT 2-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
04.07.2021 Haugesund Haugesund 3-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR

Tromsö 0-1 Haugesund — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
0-1
AWAY Haugesund
1.80 xG 0.61
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
471 Passes 453
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haugesund squeezed past Tromsö 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Tromsö at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Tromsö had 50% of the ball to Haugesund's 50%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 1.80 to 0.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tromsö.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tromsö had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tromsö and 1.33 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Haugesund?

Tromsö 0-1 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 47%, draw 28%, Haugesund 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tromsö) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tromsö) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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