Lilleström 0-5 Bodo/Glimt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 14 Apr 2024

Lilleström
0-5 HT 0-1
Bodo/Glimt
📅14/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Lilleström vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
14%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.34
1/2
7%
24.45
1/X
8%
12.9
X/1
9%
6.49
X/2
22%
5.05
X/X
15%
4.97
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
11%
3.05
2/X
7%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-2.2pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lilleström v Bodo/Glimt — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilleström EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
0.96/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.11
-40% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
20.6 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Lilleström vs Bodo/Glimt Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lilleström
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bodo/Glimt
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.90 xG 2.24
38% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 10
286 Passes 452
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 40
19 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.10.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3-1 HT 1-0 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
07.05.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 1-2 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
26.04.2023 Lilleström Lilleström 1-0 HT 1-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOK
01.10.2022 Lilleström Lilleström 1-4 HT 1-1 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
08.05.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-1 HT 0-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR
20.03.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 4-1 HT 1-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOK
POST-MATCH Lilleström vs Bodo/Glimt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo/Glimt swept aside Lilleström 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Bodo/Glimt made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lilleström and 2.33 for Bodo/Glimt.

What was the final score of Lilleström vs Bodo/Glimt?

Lilleström 0-5 Bodo/Glimt in the Norway - Eliteserien on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilleström vs Bodo/Glimt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lilleström 30%, draw 30%, Bodo/Glimt 40%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodo/Glimt), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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