Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsö Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Tromsö — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsö Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Tromsö
NOR
2-1
HT 0-1
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
1-1
HT 0-0
Tromsö
NOR
2-5
HT 1-2
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
0-1
HT 0-1
Tromsö
NOR
Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Tromsö — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 nicked a narrow win over Tromsö 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Sarpsborg 08 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 61% of the ball to Tromsö's 39%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 2.23 to 0.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sarpsborg 08's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sarpsborg 08 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 1.00 for Tromsö.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsö?
Sarpsborg 08 2-1 Tromsö in the Norway - Eliteserien on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Tromsö?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 41%, draw 23%, Tromsö 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.