Sandefjord 4-2 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Jun 2024

📅21/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
Over 2.5
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 46%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.92/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
+41% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +99% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Fredrikstad
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
483 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
28.04.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
08.03.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord HAZ
27.09.2016 Sandefjord Sandefjord 2-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
30.04.2016 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 0-0 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR1
02.11.2014 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-1 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR1
14.04.2014 Sandefjord Sandefjord 0-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR1
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord saw off Fredrikstad 4-2. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fredrikstad at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sandefjord and 1.00 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?

Sandefjord 4-2 Fredrikstad in the Friendlies on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fredrikstad win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 27%, draw 28%, Fredrikstad 45%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fredrikstad) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fredrikstad) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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