Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Molde — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Molde
NOR
5-1
HT 2-1
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
3-1
HT 3-0
Sarpsborg 08
NOK
4-1
HT 3-1
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Sarpsborg 08 2-2 Molde — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 and Molde shared the points in a 2-2 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Molde at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 52% of the ball to Molde's 48%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 2.22 to 2.63.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 3.50 for Molde.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde?
Sarpsborg 08 2-2 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde?
Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 24%, draw 28%, Molde 48%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Molde), Under 2.5 went the other way.