Stromsgodset 1-0 KFUM Oslo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 25% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.97
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
10%
4.76
X/2
11%
6.75
X/X
12%
4.55
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.85
2/X
7%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
44%
-3.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stromsgodset EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.71/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.96
-4% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +97%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
354 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
24.3 Crosses 10.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stromsgodset
1W-0D-0L
AWAY KFUM Oslo
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.78 xG 1.48
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 13
311 Passes 539
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.04.2024 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-3 HT 0-2 Stromsgodset Stromsgodset NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stromsgodset
1-0
AWAY KFUM Oslo
0.53 xG 0.44
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
388 Passes 407
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stromsgodset vs KFUM Oslo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stromsgodset squeezed past KFUM Oslo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stromsgodset as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Stromsgodset had 50% of the ball to KFUM Oslo's 50%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.53 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Stromsgodset vs KFUM Oslo?

Stromsgodset 1-0 KFUM Oslo in the Norway - Eliteserien on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stromsgodset vs KFUM Oslo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stromsgodset win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Stromsgodset 41%, draw 27%, KFUM Oslo 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stromsgodset) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stromsgodset) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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