Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 10 Nov 2024

Bodo/Glimt
2-2 HT 0-1
Fredrikstad
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2024

Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.49
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.86
6+ Goals
16%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.75
X/1
14%
3.56
X/2
5%
16.5
X/X
7%
7.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
21.85
2/2
5%
12.7
2/X
5%
20.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
68%
-1.8pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.2pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bodo/Glimt v Fredrikstad — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 16%
-1% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +16%
2.32/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.97
+25% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
418 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
39.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
20.1 Crosses 10.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.9

Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodo/Glimt
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.41 xG 1.48
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
589 Passes 207
89% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.04.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 0-2 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
28.06.2009 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-2 HT 1-2 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
15.03.2009 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
20.09.2008 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-1 HT 1-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
21.04.2008 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-0 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
02.10.2005 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 1-2 HT 1-2 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
POST-MATCH Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo/Glimt and Fredrikstad couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Bodo/Glimt at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.33 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad?

Bodo/Glimt 2-2 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo/Glimt vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bodo/Glimt 67%, draw 19%, Fredrikstad 15%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5
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