Sandefjord 1-0 Odds BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.94
6+ Goals
13%
8.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
13%
3.93
X/2
5%
10.9
X/X
10%
6.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.0
2/2
13%
7.96
2/X
5%
16.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.0 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.9pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandefjord EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Odds BK EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.62/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.52
-61% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
416 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
23.8 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandefjord
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Odds BK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.40 xG 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Odds BK Odds BK 2-2 HT 1-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
24.03.2024 Odds BK Odds BK 0-2 HT 0-1 Sandefjord Sandefjord HAZ
03.09.2023 Odds BK Odds BK 3-2 HT 2-2 Sandefjord Sandefjord NOR
04.06.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 4-1 HT 1-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
12.03.2023 Sandefjord Sandefjord 4-1 HT 4-0 Odds BK Odds BK NOK
10.09.2022 Sandefjord Sandefjord 1-3 HT 1-1 Odds BK Odds BK NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sandefjord
1-0
AWAY Odds BK
1.11 xG 0.47
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
323 Passes 325
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sandefjord vs Odds BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord nicked a narrow win over Odds BK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sandefjord as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sandefjord had 49% of the ball to Odds BK's 51%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.11 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sandefjord had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sandefjord and 1.67 for Odds BK.

What was the final score of Sandefjord vs Odds BK?

Sandefjord 1-0 Odds BK in the Norway - Eliteserien on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandefjord vs Odds BK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandefjord win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Sandefjord 54%, draw 23%, Odds BK 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sandefjord) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sandefjord) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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