Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sarpsborg 08 v Molde — Team-Based Signals
Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Molde
NOR
5-1
HT 2-1
Sarpsborg 08
NOR
Sarpsborg 08 1-0 Molde — Actual Match Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 squeezed past Molde 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Molde at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sarpsborg 08 had 22% of the ball to Molde's 78%, shots finished 8-26, expected goals 1.42 to 2.59 — on chances, Molde could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sarpsborg 08 and 2.67 for Molde.
What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde?
Sarpsborg 08 1-0 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 vs Molde?
Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 30%, draw 23%, Molde 46%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.