Viking 5-1 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 30 Nov 2025

📅30/11/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.29
Draw
17%
5.28
Away
16%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.6
No
42%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
8.45
2-3 Goals
38%
2.4
4-5 Goals
29%
2.34
6+ Goals
16%
3.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.44
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
4%
20.15
X/1
22%
4.25
X/2
3%
20.15
X/X
8%
10.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
15%
17.55
2/2
8%
14.85
2/X
6%
23.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.55 — our 15% vs market 3.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
73%
-6.5pp
17%
Draw
16%
+1.4pp
16%
Away Win
11%
+5.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.2pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.0pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viking EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
2.30/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.46
+14% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -22%
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
478 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
39.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
28.3 Crosses 12.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viking
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Valerenga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.41 xG 1.61
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
351 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Valerenga Valerenga 3-1 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
02.09.2023 Viking Viking 1-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
01.07.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 1-2 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
28.08.2022 Viking Viking 1-2 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
24.07.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 4-2 HT 3-1 Viking Viking NOR
22.08.2021 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viking
5-1
AWAY Valerenga
2.20 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
243 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
31 Box Touches 8
19 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viking vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viking swept aside Valerenga 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Viking as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Viking had 47% of the ball to Valerenga's 53%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.20 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Viking and 2.00 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of Viking vs Valerenga?

Viking 5-1 Valerenga in the Norway - Eliteserien on 30/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viking vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Viking 67%, draw 17%, Valerenga 16%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viking), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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