Valerenga 3-1 Viking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.33
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.12
2-3 Goals
47%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.53
1/2
6%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1 EV+ ✗
19%
5.73
X/2
13%
6.0
X/X
11%
5.31
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
21%
3.79
2/X
6%
13.1
Value flag · X/1 at 5.73 — our 19% vs market 13.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+4.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Viking EU Bookmakers 39%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +25%
1.31/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.36
-2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
312 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
16.8 Crosses 19.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Viking
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.59 xG 1.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
395 Passes 335
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
28 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Viking Viking 1-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
01.07.2023 Valerenga Valerenga 1-2 HT 0-1 Viking Viking NOR
28.08.2022 Viking Viking 1-2 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
24.07.2022 Valerenga Valerenga 4-2 HT 3-1 Viking Viking NOR
22.08.2021 Valerenga Valerenga 1-1 HT 1-0 Viking Viking NOR
13.06.2021 Viking Viking 4-1 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valerenga
3-1
AWAY Viking
1.47 xG 2.04
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
352 Passes 289
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 30
27 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Valerenga vs Viking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga saw off Viking 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Valerenga made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Valerenga had 53% of the ball to Viking's 47%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.47 to 2.04 — the balance of chances actually favoured Viking.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Valerenga and 1.83 for Viking.

What was the final score of Valerenga vs Viking?

Valerenga 3-1 Viking in the Norway - Eliteserien on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga vs Viking?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viking win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Valerenga 37%, draw 23%, Viking 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Viking) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Viking) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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