Molde 0-2 Sarpsborg 08 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
26%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.33
Over 2.5
62%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.94
2-3 Goals
32%
1.99
4-5 Goals
32%
2.88
6+ Goals
16%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.83
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.95
X/1
17%
4.16
X/2
11%
12.4
X/X
9%
6.86
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.0
2/2
10%
9.5
2/X
8%
17.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.0 — our 10% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.7pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Molde EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +19%
2.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.83
+38% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 72%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
19.4 Crosses 14.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Molde
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.84 xG 1.23
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
413 Passes 358
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
34 Box Touches 24
24 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.11.2024 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 2-2 HT 2-2 Molde Molde NOR
20.05.2024 Molde Molde 2-4 HT 1-2 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
08.05.2024 Molde Molde 4-2 HT 0-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOK
26.11.2023 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 1-3 HT 0-2 Molde Molde NOR
22.07.2023 Molde Molde 5-1 HT 2-1 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOR
12.07.2023 Molde Molde 3-1 HT 3-0 Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Molde
0-2
AWAY Sarpsborg 08
0.52 xG 2.24
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 1
493 Passes 356
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 24
36 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Molde vs Sarpsborg 08
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 saw off Molde 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Molde had 58% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08's 42%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.52 to 2.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Molde had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Molde and 1.83 for Sarpsborg 08.

What was the final score of Molde vs Sarpsborg 08?

Molde 0-2 Sarpsborg 08 in the Norway - Eliteserien on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Molde vs Sarpsborg 08?

Before kick-off our model rated a Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Molde 52%, draw 22%, Sarpsborg 08 26%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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