Tromsö 1-0 Haugesund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 30 Mar 2025

Tromsö
1-0 HT 1-0
Haugesund
📅30/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Norway - Eliteserien – 2025

Tromsö vs Haugesund Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.99
No
49%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.45
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.6
6+ Goals
14%
13.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.6 — our 24% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.83
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
16.75
X/1
21%
3.92
X/2
7%
13.3
X/X
6%
5.57
2/1
7%
24.65
2/2
9%
11.65
2/X
8%
19.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.8pp
19%
Draw
22%
-2.8pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
46%
+4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
54%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tromsö v Haugesund — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsö EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.91/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.52
-22% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
20.3 Crosses 15.2
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Tromsö vs Haugesund Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsö
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Haugesund
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 0.98
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
426 Passes 402
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
27 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Haugesund Haugesund 2-0 HT 1-0 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
14.04.2024 Tromsö Tromsö 0-1 HT 0-1 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
26.11.2023 Tromsö Tromsö 2-1 HT 1-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR
29.05.2023 Haugesund Haugesund 1-2 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
04.09.2022 Haugesund Haugesund 2-1 HT 1-1 Tromsö Tromsö NOR
19.06.2022 Tromsö Tromsö 1-1 HT 0-0 Haugesund Haugesund NOR

Tromsö 1-0 Haugesund — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tromsö
1-0
AWAY Haugesund
3.09 xG 0.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
425 Passes 389
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tromsö vs Haugesund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsö squeezed past Haugesund 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tromsö as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tromsö had 52% of the ball to Haugesund's 48%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 3.09 to 0.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Tromsö's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Haugesund led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tromsö and 1.33 for Haugesund.

What was the final score of Tromsö vs Haugesund?

Tromsö 1-0 Haugesund in the Norway - Eliteserien on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsö vs Haugesund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsö win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Tromsö 60%, draw 19%, Haugesund 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsö) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tromsö) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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