HFX Wanderers 2-1 York United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.9pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY York United EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +15%
2.15/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.29
+26% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +64%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 77%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
10.9 Crosses 17.6
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HFX Wanderers
1W-1D-4L
AWAY York United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.49 xG 1.26
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
412 Passes 370
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.07.2024 York United York United 2-1 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
25.05.2024 York United York United 2-1 HT 2-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
04.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 York United York United CAPL
30.07.2023 York United York United 0-2 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
22.06.2023 York United York United 2-2 HT 1-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
20.05.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-2 York United York United KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HFX Wanderers
2-1
AWAY York United
1.96 xG 0.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
362 Passes 383
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH HFX Wanderers vs York United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HFX Wanderers nicked a narrow win over York United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day HFX Wanderers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, HFX Wanderers had 48% of the ball to York United's 52%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.96 to 0.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold HFX Wanderers's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HFX Wanderers and 1.83 for York United.

What was the final score of HFX Wanderers vs York United?

HFX Wanderers 2-1 York United in the Kanada - Premier League on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HFX Wanderers vs York United?

Before kick-off our model rated a HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split HFX Wanderers 40%, draw 29%, York United 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HFX Wanderers) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5
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