York United 2-1 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 6 Jul 2024

📅06/07/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+2.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 49%
-20% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-56% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.26 xG 1.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
376 Passes 387
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2024 York United York United 2-1 HT 2-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
04.09.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-1 York United York United CAPL
30.07.2023 York United York United 0-2 HT 0-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
22.06.2023 York United York United 2-2 HT 1-1 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
20.05.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-2 York United York United KAPL
17.09.2022 York United York United 0-0 HT 0-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York United
2-1
AWAY HFX Wanderers
0.68 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
398 Passes 450
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH York United vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York United nicked a narrow win over HFX Wanderers 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was HFX Wanderers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, York United had 48% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 52%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 0.68 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, York United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for York United and 1.00 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of York United vs HFX Wanderers?

York United 2-1 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York United vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an HFX Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split York United 31%, draw 25%, HFX Wanderers 44%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (HFX Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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