Forge vs Vancouver FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Forge v Vancouver FC — Team-Based Signals
Forge vs Vancouver FC Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Forge 3-3 Vancouver FC — Actual Match Statistics
a 3-3 draw left Forge and Vancouver FC with a point apiece. Half-time: 1-2. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Forge at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) landed.
On the day, possession split 63% to 37% in Forge's favour, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.69 to 0.43.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.20 a game for Forge against 0.80 for Vancouver FC.
Forge vs Vancouver FC Result & Final Score
Forge 3 - 3 Vancouver FC in the Canada - Premier League on 06/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Forge vs Vancouver FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Forge win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Forge 58%, draw 22%, Vancouver FC 20%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Forge) went the other way.