Junior 1-1 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Sep 2024

Junior
1-1 HT 0-1
Santa Fe
📅02/09/2024 · 🕒03:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Junior vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
30%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.48
Over 2.5
43%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.19
No
49%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-7.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+9.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
64%
-7.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
36%
+7.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.9pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Junior v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 24%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.36/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.20
+21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
14.6 Crosses 15.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.5

Junior vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Santa Fe
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
345 Passes 228
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
22.02.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 3-0 HT 2-0 Junior Junior KOL
03.09.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
19.03.2023 Junior Junior 1-1 HT 1-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
24.11.2022 Junior Junior 2-3 HT 0-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
24.07.2022 Junior Junior 2-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
12.05.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-1 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOLK

Junior 1-1 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
1-1
AWAY Santa Fe
1.30 xG 0.60
77% Ball Possession 23%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
526 Passes 104
87% Pass Accuracy 59%
22 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 7
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Junior vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior and Santa Fe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Junior at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Junior had 77% of the ball to Santa Fe's 23%, shots finished 15-8, expected goals 1.30 to 0.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Junior and 1.33 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Junior vs Santa Fe?

Junior 1-1 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Junior 41%, draw 29%, Santa Fe 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Junior) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5
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