Millonarios 3-0 Patriotas Boyaca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒01:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca EU Bookmakers 21%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -18%
1.23/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.45
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 76%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
20.3 Crosses 13.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.22 xG 0.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
378 Passes 286
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
17.10.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
02.05.2022 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 1-2 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
07.09.2021 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
14.03.2021 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca 0-2 HT 0-2 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
18.10.2020 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Patriotas Boyaca Patriotas Boyaca KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
3-0
AWAY Patriotas Boyaca
1.48 xG 0.70
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
283 Passes 276
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Patriotas Boyaca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios swept aside Patriotas Boyaca 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Millonarios had 49% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 51%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 1.48 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Millonarios and 0.33 for Patriotas Boyaca.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Millonarios 3-0 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Patriotas Boyaca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 49%, draw 30%, Patriotas Boyaca 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
2 Sep 2024
03:20 Junior vs Santa Fe Analysis →