Raufoss 4-1 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 2 Sep 2024

📅02/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.72
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 30% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.7pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.46/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.30
-3% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sogndal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.05.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 1-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
16.03.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 1-5 Raufoss Raufoss HAZ
23.08.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 3-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
06.05.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
29.10.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 0-3 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
04.04.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss swept aside Sogndal 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Raufoss made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Raufoss and 1.50 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Sogndal?

Raufoss 4-1 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 02/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 37%, draw 24%, Sogndal 40%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sogndal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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