Sogndal 1-1 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 22 May 2024

📅22/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.42
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.42 — our 26% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.3pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.9pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.2pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
2.24/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.59
+19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
205 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Raufoss
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 1-5 Raufoss Raufoss HAZ
23.08.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 3-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
06.05.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
29.10.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 0-3 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
04.04.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
15.09.2021 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 0-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal and Raufoss shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sogndal at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sogndal and 1.67 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Raufoss?

Sogndal 1-1 Raufoss in the Norway - 1st Division on 22/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sogndal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 43%, draw 29%, Raufoss 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sogndal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sogndal) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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